Live Estimate · Operation Epic Fury · Strikes Began Feb 28, 2026

Iran War Cost Tracker

Estimated U.S. Taxpayer Spending
Based on the Pentagon's briefing to Congress: $11.3B for the first 6 days, plus $1B/day ongoing
Est. U.S. Cost Since Strikes Began
$0
$11.3B first 6 days (Pentagon → Congress) + $1B/day ongoing
The Human Cost
U.S. Service Members
killed
wounded
Iranian Military
killed
incl. senior leadership
Iranian Civilians
killed
wounded
Connected Conflict: Lebanon
Since Mar 2 Separate from Iran cost counter
Killed
Wounded
Displaced
Pain at the Pump
National Average Gas Price
$3.58

per gallon (regular) — up $0.62 since the conflict began

Pre-conflict (Feb 26) $2.96
Current national avg $3.58
Increase +$0.62 (+20.9%)

The national average jumped nearly 27 cents in a single week as the Iran conflict threatens the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's daily oil moves. AAA reports the fastest weekly increase since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Source: AAA Gas Prices · AAA Newsroom, Mar 2026

The Real Cost May Be Higher
Missile Defense Alone: ~$5 Billion / Day

Jennifer Kavanagh of Defense Priorities estimates the U.S. "easily" spent more than $10 billion on air-defense systems in the first 48 hours. Iran launched 2,000+ drones and 500+ ballistic missiles (CSIS). CSIS separately estimates interceptor costs at $1.2B–$3.7B for the first 100 hours.

THAAD interceptor $12,700,000 each
Patriot PAC-3 $3,700,000 each
Iranian Shahed-136 drone $35,000 each
Cost ratio (interceptor vs. drone) 106 : 1

Source: NYT DealBook, Mar 4, 2026 (Niko Gallogly)

Stockpile Depletion
THAAD interceptors (Dec 2025) 534
SM-3 interceptors (Dec 2025) 414
Used in June 2025 (12-day war) 100–150 THAAD, 80 SM-3
THAAD production rate 96/yr → 400/yr (ramping)
PAC-3 production rate ~600/yr → 2,000/yr (ramping)
Full depletion at current usage 4–5 weeks

In June 2025's 12-day war, the U.S. expended up to 30% of its THAAD stockpile and 80 SM-3s. Production cannot keep pace: even at quadrupled rates, replacing 150 THAAD interceptors takes nearly 5 months.

At sustained conflict consumption, the entire U.S. interceptor stockpile could be exhausted in 4–5 weeks — creating vulnerabilities for NATO, Ukraine, Taiwan, and Japan, all of which depend on U.S. defense supplies.

Source: Military Times, Mar 6, 2026

What Has That Money Bought
Other Estimates
Pentagon → Congress (Mar 11) — first 6 days >$11.3B
Penn Wharton Budget Model — total economic impact up to $210B
Penn Wharton — direct budgetary cost $40B–$95B
CSIS (Cancian & Park) — first 100 hours $3.7B
Center for American Progress — through Day 4 >$5B
Anadolou Agency — first 24 hours $779M
IPS/Nat'l Priorities Project — major equip. O&S $59.4M/day
Full Methodology →
Our bottom-up cost model: 13 aircraft types, naval deployments, munitions tracking, and sources
Sources
  • NYT (Catie Edmondson, Mar 11 2026) — Pentagon briefing to Congress: >$11.3B for first 6 days
  • NBC News — Sen. Coons: $11.3B figure likely an undercount (excludes full munitions replacement)
  • Nancy Youssef (WSJ) — Pentagon preliminary estimate: $1B/day via congressional official
  • NYT DealBook (Niko Gallogly, Mar 4 2026) — Kavanagh/Defense Priorities interceptor analysis
  • Military Times (Mar 6, 2026) — Interceptor stockpile data, production rates, depletion timeline
  • CSIS (Cancian & Park, Mar 5 2026) — $3.7B first 100 hours; munitions, aircraft losses, interceptor breakdown
  • Penn Wharton Budget Model (Kent Smetters) — $40B–$95B direct, up to $210B economic impact
  • Center for American Progress — >$5B through Day 4
  • DoD Comptroller FY2024/25 reimbursable flight-hour rates
  • Congressional Budget Office (CBO) cost reports
  • Government Accountability Office (GAO) sustainment reports
  • Brown University Costs of War Project
  • DoD/CENTCOM official statements
  • AAA Gas Prices — National average gas price data; +$0.27/week post-conflict
  • AP, Reuters, AFP, Al Jazeera reporting

This tracker exists because the public deserves real-time transparency about the cost of military operations — not just after-the-fact reports years later. The counter uses the Pentagon's own briefing to Congress — $11.3 billion for the first six days — plus $1 billion/day ongoing. Senator Coons has noted this is likely an undercount, and independent analyses suggest the true cost may be significantly higher.

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